Buffalo Sabres as impetus behind the ch

One of the National Hockey League’s big pushes this off-season was to refine the draft lottery process in preparation for the upcoming 2015 Draft. JJ Redick Jersey . The lottery weights were adjusted to “more appropriately reflect the current state of competitive balance in the league,” a thinly-veiled attempt to lessen the incentive to tank a full season in hopes of picking up the first overall pick. It’s difficult to not look at Connor McDavid, Jack Eichel, and the Buffalo Sabres as impetus behind the change. McDavid, who has already racked up 34 points in 12 games this year in the OHL, is the consensus No. 1 pick, but Eichel is not far behind. McDavid is considered a generational talent, and outside of Sidney Crosby in recent seasons, no other draft eligible hockey player has produced at his current rate. American Jack Eichel, the consensus No. 2 pick, offers an impressive consolation prize for the team that misses out on McDavid. He has three goals and six assists in three games for Boston University, competing against much older players than McDavid. His hot start comes on the heels of an impressive 20-goal, 45-point run with U.S. Hockey’s National Under-18 Team. The two players create serious opportunity for the team that manages to finish dead last. Under the 2015 Draft lottery rules, the 30th-place team has a 20% chance at picking No. 1 and a 100% chance at getting no worse than the consolation prize. It’s the final year where the draft will utilize the lottery to identify the first overall pick – in 2016, the lottery will expand to determine the top three teams, further depressing the motivation to lose out. The Sabres appear to be a lock for the upcoming draft lottery. And despite other poor performances around the league, it’s growing increasingly difficult to see them finishing anywhere other than dead last – although Carolina is winless and two points behind Buffalo. Few will accuse them of outright tanking, but the organization has certainly done an excellent job of stripping away most of the talent at the NHL-level, using this year to develop a litany of younger players. The team might not be actively trying to lose, but the roster has been carefully assembled to the point where it’s going to be almost impossible for Ted Nolan’s lineup to sustain any kind of success, even over short periods of time. It’s a rebuild, by the harshest of designs. In the early goings, the Sabres have amassed four points in nine games – a shocking victory over San Jose, and a shootout win over Carolina. What’s amazing is that the 2-7-0 record is probably favorable to how they’ve played, which is historically bad. To show just how bad the Sabres have been in the early season, I compiled monthly Score-Adjusted Fenwick% — or even-strength possession, adjusted for score effects — for every team over the last eight years. Score-Adjusted Fenwick measures 5-on-5 unblocked shot attempts while the score is within a two-goal margin. It should be noted that Buffalo has two games remaining in the month of October – one in Toronto, one at home against Boston. Possession Lost Team – Month Score-Adjusted Fenwick% Buffalo Sabres – October 2014 34.5% Atlanta Thrashers – March 2008 38.7% Buffalo Sabres – October 2013 40.1% Columbus Blue Jackets – January 2012 40.3% Edmonton Oilers – January 2014 40.9% Minnesota Wild – March 2011 41.2% Edmonton Oilers – November 2010 41.5% Minnesota Wild – March 2010 41.7% Calgary Flames – February 2011 41.7% Atlanta Thrashers – January 2007 41.8% So, Buffalo’s possession rates – importantly adjusted for score effects, since they are almost always trailing in hockey games – through the stretch of October are as bad as we have ever seen. You simply cannot win hockey games getting territorially drilled at the rate which Buffalo experiences, and this is with the team getting decent goaltending (.921 save percentage) at 5-on-5. If Michal Neuvirth and Jhonas Enroth ever go through a poor stretch of hockey – and they will, at some point – wins are going to be almost impossible to come by. I don’t think Buffalo will be able to sustain this low of a percentage over a full season, simply because the historical data we have suggests it’s almost impossible to be this bad. But, it’s comparatively difficult to see Buffalo not becoming the worst possession team of the analytics era when next April rolls around. What’s going to be fascinating is whether Buffalo really has any lottery competitors three months from now, and how extreme they’ll take roster-stripping in order to preserve a hopeful 30th-place finish. There are going to be plenty of opportunities to move veteran players, especially guys on expiring deals. Chris Stewart, the team’s best possession player at 43.7%, has been the subject of trade rumors and will likely be one of many shuffled off to the highest bidder at the deadline. Some will say Buffalo’s version of tanking will be worth it the minute they grab one of McDavid or Eichel; others will point to failed rebuild strategies in places like Edmonton and argue that throwing away seasons for nothing more than a chance isn’t worth it. The one point both sides will find agreeable is that this year’s edition of the Sabres is headed for futility. Zion Williamson Jersey . — The Denver Broncos locked up a shutdown cornerback, only his name wasnt Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie. Omer Asik Jersey .500 ball against teams with winning records, so they needed a huge lift from somebody Tuesday night in a matchup of division leaders.Connor McDavid was drafted on Thursday. Though the Erie Otters star isnt eligible for the NHL Draft until 2015, when the 17-year-old Toronto native is projected to be the top pick, McDavid was drafted 77th overall in the annual KHL draft by Croatian team Medvescak Zagreb. Conceivablyy, McDavid could forgo his final season in the OHL next year and sign with Medvescak, but that would seriously compromise McDavids NHL draft stock rendering such a move beyond unlikely. Marcus Thornton Jersey. McDavid  finished fourth in the OHL in points with 21 goals and 78 assists. ‚ ‚ ‚

xcitement of seeing Harvick o

21.01.2020

NEW YORK — Even as the NBA prepares for a draft that could be headlined by freshmen, Commissioner Adam Silver remains committed to keeping them in college. Yeezy Boost 700 Cheap . So much so that NCAA President Mark Emmert was invited to discuss his involvement with owners. Silver is moving cautiously on potential changes to areas such as the lottery format and playoff structure, but [...]

t season of my life, “ Harvey sa

21.01.2020

FALUN, Sweden – Canadas Alex Harvey rediscovered his magic to win gold at the World Cup cross-country skiing finals Saturday. Nike Air Force 1 07 Homme Pas Cher . The 25-year-old from St-Ferreol-les-Neiges, Que., narrowly held off Norways Martin Johnsrud Sundby to win the mens 30-kilometre race. „This has been the best season of my life,“ Harvey said. „Obviously we didnt [...]

her NHL teams have already c

21.01.2020

With the NHL Draft coming up on June 27 and free agency opening on July 1, discussions between NHL general managers are already heating up towards a busy off-season. Paul Hornung Super Bowl Jersey . Each day, TSN.ca provides the latest rumours, reports and speculation from around the NHL beat. Parting Ways Richard Labbe of La Presse reports that the Montreal Canadiens will not be offering a new [...]

Yars, medzikontinentálna balistická raketa, Rusko, zbrane

Atómové zbrane boli plne pripravené: Ruský dezertér prezradil tajomstvá z jadrovej základne

26.11.2024 16:04

Bývalý dôstojník ruských jadrových síl odhalil pre spravodajskú televíziu BBC tajomstvá zo stráženia prísne tajnej jadrovej základne.

Milan Lučanský

Policajná inšpekcia začala opäť vyšetrovať smrť Milana Lučanského

26.11.2024 15:45

Milan Lučanský zomrel 30. decembra 2020 po tom, ako sa 29. decembra prešovskej väznici pokúsil o samovraždu.

požiar

V Prahe horí historická budova Národného divadla

26.11.2024 15:43

Bol vyhlásený druhý stupeň požiarneho poplachu.

Matúš Šutaj Eštok

Hlas stopol personálne voľby: Bez dohody na šéfovi parlamentu nehlasujeme, uviedol Šutaj Eštok

26.11.2024 15:29

Fico na koaličnej rade deklaroval, že podporí takú dohodu na šéfovi parlamentu, ktorú uzavrú Hlas a SNS.

Štatistiky blogu

Počet článkov: 571
Celková čítanosť: 251786x
Priemerná čítanosť článkov: 441x

Autor blogu

Kategórie